Risk of subarachnoid haemorrhage reduces with blood pressure values below hypertensive thresholds

Hypertension is a known risk factor for subarachnoid haemorrhage (SAH). The aim of this study was to describe the relationship between blood pressure and SAH using a large cohort study and perform a meta-analysis of the published literature.

Participants in the UK Biobank were followed up via electronic records until 31 March 2017. Cox proportional hazards models were used to analyse the association between baseline blood pressure (systolic blood pressure [SBP], diastolic blood pressure [DBP] and MABP [mean arterial blood pressure]) and subsequent aneurysmal SAH. Linearity was assessed by comparing models including and excluding cubic splines. Electronic databases were searched from inception until 11 February 2022 for studies reporting on blood pressure and SAH.

A total of 500,598 individuals were included with 539 (0.001%) suffering from aneurysmal SAH. Nonlinear models including cubic splines visually appeared linear between SBP of 110 and 180 mmHg and there was minimal difference in fit between linear and nonlinear models. When values were stratified, those with SBP 120-130 mmHg were at higher risk compared to those with SBP <120 mmHg (hazard ratio [HR] 1.41 [1.02, 1.95]). The meta-analysis demonstrated a similar increased risk of SAH in individuals with SBP 120-130 mmHg relative to those with <120 mmHg (HR 1.41 [1.17, 1.72]). A stepwise increase in risk was also seen at each subsequent threshold (130-140 mmHg: HR 1.85 [1.53, 2.24], 140-160 mmHg: HR 2.16 [1.57, 2.98], 160-180 mmHg: HR 2.81 [1.85, 4.29], >180 mmHg: HR 5.84 [1.94, 17.54]).

The rate of SAH increases linearly with higher SBP in the general population and specifically appears lower in those with SBP <120 mmHg.