Shear wave elastography-based deep learning model for prognosis of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis

This study aimed to develop and validate a deep learning model based on two-dimensional (2D) shear wave elastography (SWE) for predicting prognosis in patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis.

We prospectively enrolled 288 acutely decompensated cirrhosis patients with a minimum 1-year follow-up, divided into a training cohort (202 patients, 1010 2D SWE images) and a test cohort (86 patients, 430 2D SWE images). Using transfer learning by Resnet-50 to analyze 2D SWE images, a SWE-based deep learning signature (DLswe) was developed for 1-year mortality prediction. A combined nomogram was established by incorporating deep learning SWE information and laboratory data through a multivariate Cox regression analysis. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated with respect to predictive discrimination, calibration, and clinical usefulness in the training and test cohorts.

The C-index for DLswe was 0.748 (95% CI 0.666-0.829) and 0.744 (95% CI 0.623-0.864) in the training and test cohorts, respectively. The combined nomogram significantly improved the C-index, accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity of DLswe to 0.823 (95% CI 0.763-0.883), 86%, 75%, and 89% in the training cohort, and 0.808 (95% CI 0.707-0.909), 83%, 74%, and 85% in the test cohort (both p < 0.05). Calibration curves demonstrated good calibration of the combined nomogram. Decision curve analysis indicated that the nomogram was clinically valuable.

The 2D SWE-based deep learning model holds promise as a noninvasive tool to capture valuable prognostic information, thereby improving outcome prediction in patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis.