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Artificial intelligence in early detection and prediction of pediatric/neonatal acute kidney injury: current status
Rupesh Raina1,2,3, Arwa Nada4, Raghav Shah5,6
1Akron Nephrology Associates/Cleveland Clinic Akron General Medical Center, Akron, OH, USA. rraina@akronchildrens.org.
Insights
Artificial intelligence (AI) models show promise in predicting acute kidney injury (AKI) in pediatric and neonatal patients. Machine learning and risk scores improve early detection and intervention, reducing negative outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Pediatric Nephrology
- Medical Informatics
- Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
Background:
- Acute kidney injury (AKI) significantly impacts pediatric and neonatal patient outcomes.
- Early detection and intervention are crucial for mitigating AKI's effects in these vulnerable populations.
- Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) offer advanced predictive capabilities for AKI.
Purpose of the Study:
- To review the current state of AI in predicting and managing AKI in pediatric and neonatal patients.
- To highlight the effectiveness of AI models, risk scores, and electronic alerts in AKI detection.
- To explore future directions for AI-driven AKI prediction using biomarkers.
Main Methods:
- Review of AI models (XGBoost, logistic regression, SVM, decision trees, naive Bayes) and risk scores (RAI, NINJA).
- Analysis of studies utilizing electronic health records (EHR) and clinical variables (serum creatinine, urine output).
- Examination of neonatal-specific models like 'Baby NINJA' and 'STARZ' risk stratification.
Main Results:
- AI models successfully predict AKI in pediatrics using variables like serum creatinine and EHR alerts.
- 'Baby NINJA' model reduced nephrotoxic exposure (42%), AKI rates (78%), and AKI days (68%) in neonates.
- 'STARZ' model demonstrated high predictive ability (AUC 0.93-0.96) for AKI within 7 days of NICU admission.
Conclusions:
- AI, including ML and risk scores, is effective for early AKI detection and management in pediatric and neonatal care.
- Integration of AI with biomarkers (NGAL, CysC, etc.) holds potential for more robust predictive models.
- Future research should focus on combining AI with novel biomarkers for enhanced AKI prediction in neonates and children.
Abstract:
Acute kidney injury (AKI) has a significant impact on the short-term and long-term clinical outcomes of pediatric and neonatal patients, and it is imperative in these populations to mitigate the pathways leading to AKI and be prepared for early diagnosis and treatment intervention of established AKI. Recently, artificial intelligence (AI) has provided more advent predictive models for early detection/prediction of AKI utilizing machine learning (ML). By providing strong detail and evidence from risk scores and electronic alerts, this review outlines a comprehensive and holistic insight into the current state of AI in AKI in pediatric/neonatal patients. In the pediatric population, AI models including XGBoost, logistic regression, support vector machines, decision trees, naïve Bayes, and risk stratification scores (Renal Angina Index (RAI), Nephrotoxic Injury Negated by Just-in-time Action (NINJA)) have shown success in predicting AKI using variables like serum creatinine, urine output, and electronic health record (EHR) alerts. Similarly, in the neonatal population, using the "Baby NINJA" model showed a decrease in nephrotoxic medication exposure by 42%, the rate of AKI by 78%, and the number of days with AKI by 68%. Furthermore, the "STARZ" risk stratification AI model showed a predictive ability of AKI within 7 days of NICU admission of AUC 0.93 and AUC of 0.96 in the validation and derivation cohorts, respectively. Many studies have reported the superiority of using biomarkers to predict AKI in pediatric patients and neonates as well. Future directions include the application of AI along with biomarkers (NGAL, CysC, OPN, IL-18, B2M, etc.) in a Labelbox configuration to create a more robust and accurate model for predicting and detecting pediatric/neonatal AKI.
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