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Cardiac Parameters Better Predict ICU Admission and Short-Term Mortality in Hospitalized Patients With COVID-19
Emrah Aksakal1, Sidar Ş Aydın1, Selim Aydemir1
1Cardiology, Erzurum City Hospital, Erzurum, TUR.
Insights
This study found that while many blood markers are associated with COVID-19 outcomes, cardiac markers like troponin and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) are the most effective predictors of intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality. These findings highlight the importance of cardiac assessments in managing COVID-19 patients.
Area of Science:
- Internal Medicine
- Cardiology
- Infectious Diseases
Background:
- COVID-19 is a multisystemic disease impacting various organs, necessitating monitoring of diverse biochemical parameters during hospitalization and follow-up.
- Understanding the prognostic value of blood parameters, including liver/kidney function, inflammatory markers, and cardiac markers, is crucial for managing COVID-19 patients.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the relationship between various blood parameters and intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality in COVID-19 patients.
- To identify independent predictors of poor outcomes and assess the comparative predictive value of different biomarkers for COVID-19 prognosis.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 5100 COVID-19 patients hospitalized between April 2020 and November 2022.
- Evaluation of blood parameters including liver/kidney function tests, lactate, D-dimer, C-reactive protein (CRP), lymphocyte count, ferritin, albumin, creatine kinase-myocardial band (CK-MB), troponin, and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP).
- Cox regression and Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) curve analyses were employed to determine independent predictors and predictive accuracy.
Main Results:
- Elderly and male patients exhibited higher rates of mortality and ICU admission.
- Organ function tests, blood count parameters, inflammatory markers, and cardiac parameters were significantly associated with adverse outcomes.
- Lactate, albumin, troponin, and BNP were identified as independent predictors of mortality and ICU admission, with troponin and BNP demonstrating superior predictive capabilities.
Conclusions:
- While COVID-19 affects multiple systems, cardiac markers (troponin and BNP) show significant predictive value for disease course and prognosis, even though it's not primarily a cardiac condition.
- A comprehensive evaluation of various blood parameters is essential, but cardiac markers offer a more robust indication of severe outcomes in COVID-19 patients.
Abstract:
Background COVID-19 is a multisystemic disease that affects many organs, and the use of some parameters is recommended both during hospitalization and follow-up. In this study, we investigated the relationship between blood (liver and kidney function tests, lactate, and D-dimer), infection (C-reactive protein (CRP), lymphocyte count, ferritin, and albumin), and cardiac (creatine kinase-myocardial band (CK-MB), troponin, and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP)) parameters with intensive care unit (ICU) admission and mortality. Materials and methods Patients hospitalized in Erzurum City Hospital with the diagnosis of COVID-19 between April 2020 and November 2022 were included in this retrospective study. The patient's files and electronic media records were retrospectively reviewed, and the patient's anamnesis, physical examination, clinical findings, biochemical parameters, and treatment methods were recorded. The ICU needs of the patients and the treatment processes in intensive care were found in the in-hospital records. The hospital records and six-month mortality data were obtained retrospectively with the necessary permissions. Thus, blood parameters and their relation to each other in terms of prognosis were evaluated in determining the six-month mortality rates of the patients and estimating the need for ICU. Results A total of 5100 patients were included in the study. The mean age of patients with mortality was 74.2 ± 11.2 and that without mortality was 59.9 ± 15.7 (p < 0.001). In the mortality (+) group, 61.5% of patients were male, and in the mortality (-) group, 47.4% of the patients were male (p < 0.001). The mean age of patients with ICU admission was 69.6 ± 13.6 and without ICU admission was 60.3 ± 15.9 years (p < 0.001). In the ICU admission (+) group, 60.5% of patients were male; and in the ICU admission (-) group, 47.2% of patients were male (p < 0.001). Death and ICU admission were observed more frequently in elderly and male patients (p < 0.001 for both mortality and ICU admission). Blood parameters were evaluated both in the mortality and ICU groups, and organ function tests, blood count parameters, inflammatory markers, and cardiac parameters were significantly associated with poor outcomes. Cox regression analysis showed that lactate, albumin, Ln(troponin), and Ln(BNP) were independent predictors of mortality and ICU admission. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis showed that Ln(troponin) and Ln(BNP) levels predicted the development of mortality and ICU admission better than other parameters. Discussion COVID-19 can cause problems in different systems as a result of an inflammatory response, secreted cytokines, hypercoagulability, and direct tissue damage. When treating patients, a more appropriate approach is to evaluate different parameters together rather than focusing on a single parameter and deciding accordingly. However, evaluating alterations in many parameters in a disease that affects many systems is difficult and increases the risk of mistakes. Although each blood parameter separately is important, it was observed that the cardiac parameters troponin I and BNP have better predictive values than others in predicting the course and prognosis of COVID-19. Conclusion Blood parameters are used in COVID-19 diagnosis, treatment, and follow-up. Although it is not primarily a cardiac disease, cardiac markers can provide better results in showing the course and prognosis of COVID-19.
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