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Updated: Jul 12, 2025
Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Predicting Survival of Patients with Nonmetastatic Breast Cancer Based on Fibrinogen-to-Albumin Ratio and
Xiao-Yu Chen1,2, Zhi-Qing Long1,2, Han-Ying Huang1,2
1State Key Laboratory of Oncology in South China, Guangdong Key Laboratory of Nasopharyngeal Carcinoma Diagnosis and Therapy, Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center, Collaborative Innovation Center for Cancer Medicine, Guangzhou, PR China.
Background:
Parameters of systemic inflammation have received attention as prognostic surrogates in various malignant tumors. Fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR) and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) correlate with tumor growth and dissemination. We aimed to bring the combination of FAR and LMR (FAR-LMR) together to establish novel nomograms for survival and recurrence in nonmetastatic breast cancer patients.
Methods:
We retrospectively recruited 461 female patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer from January 2011 to December 2013 in our hospital and randomly assigned them into the training cohort (N = 318) and the validation cohort (N = 143). The potential predictive factors for overall survival (OS), locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS), and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) were assessed by Cox proportional hazards models and log-rank test.
Results:
Elevated FAR was associated with poor OS (p < 0.001) and DMFS (p = 0.02), whereas increased LMR was associated with satisfactory OS (p = 0.01) and LRFS (p = 0.01). High FAR combined with low LMR was associated with less favorable OS (p = 0.001), LRFS (p = 0.005), and DMFS (p = 0.003) Based on multivariate analysis, FAR-LMR, tumor size, lymph node metastasis, age, and pathologic status contributed to prognostic nomograms of OS, DMFS, and LRFS. Nomograms presented exceptional performance for 3-, 5-, and 8-year OS, DMFS, and LRFS prediction compared with clinical TNM stage. The C-index was significantly higher than that of TNM stage, either of FAR or LMR (3-year: 0.709 vs. 0.621 vs. 0.544 vs. 0.641, 5-year: 0.761 vs. 0.597 vs. 0.605 vs. 0.677, 8-year: 0.84 vs. 0.62 vs. 0.539 vs. 0.623).
Conclusions:
We developed and validated a convenient predictive model for the survival outcomes of patients with nonmetastatic breast cancer. The nomograms can be utilized as auxiliary tools to provide prognostic information.
