Tumor Volume Growth Rates and Doubling Times during Active Surveillance of IDH-mutant Low-Grade Glioma

Ankush Bhatia1,2, Raquel Moreno3, Anne S Reiner4

  • 1Department of Neurology, Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York.

Abstract

Insights

Tumor volume growth rate (TVGR) on MRI can predict clinical benefit in isocitrate dehydrogenase-mutant (IDH-mt) gliomas. Faster growth correlates with higher grade and increased mortality risk, suggesting TVGR

Area of Science:

  • Neuro-oncology
  • Medical imaging
  • Molecular genetics

Background:

  • Isocitrate dehydrogenase-mutant (IDH-mt) gliomas are primary brain tumors with a slow initial growth phase followed by rapid malignant progression.
  • Current surveillance methods may not capture early signs of clinical benefit or disease acceleration.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate if tumor volume growth rate (TVGR) on MRI can serve as an early indicator of clinical benefit in IDH-mt gliomas during active surveillance.
  • To understand the relationship between tumor growth kinetics, molecular genetics, and overall survival in IDH-mt gliomas.

Main Methods:

  • Retrospective analysis of 128 IDH-mt glioma patients post-surgical resection.
  • Integration of 3D volumetric MRI measurements with clinical, radiologic, and molecular data.
  • Application of log-linear mixed modeling and joint modeling to analyze TVGR and survival data.

Main Results:

  • The overall cohort exhibited a continuous %TVGR of 10.46% per 6 months, with a doubling time of 3.5 years.
  • High molecular grade IDH-mt gliomas (with CDKN2A/B homozygous deletion) showed significantly faster growth (%TVGR of 19.17% per 6 months) compared to low molecular grade gliomas (%TVGR of 9.54% per 6 months).
  • Each unit increase in log tumor volume was associated with a 3.83-fold increased risk of death, indicating a strong correlation between TVGR and survival.

Conclusions:

  • TVGR on MRI is a potential early measure of clinical benefit in IDH-mt gliomas.
  • TVGR correlates with the WHO 2021 molecular classification and overall survival.
  • Incorporating TVGR as a surrogate endpoint in future trials could accelerate drug development for IDH-mt gliomas.