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Updated: Jul 11, 2025

Predicting the Effectiveness of Population Replacement Strategy Using Mathematical Modeling
Published on: July 4, 2007
A mathematical model between keystone species: Bears, salmon and vegetation
Christopher Middlebrook1, Xiaoying Wang1
1Department of Mathematics, Trent University, Peterborough, ON K9L 0G2, Canada.
Abstract:
We study an ecosystem of three keystone species: salmon, bears and vegetation. Bears consume salmon and vegetation for energy and nutrient intake, but the food quality differs significantly due to the nutritional level difference between salmon and vegetation. We propose a stoichiometric predator-prey model that not only tracks the energy flow from one trophic level to another but also nutrient recycling in the system. Analytical results show that bears may coexist with salmon and vegetation at a steady state, but the abundance of salmon may differ under different regimes. Numerical simulations reveal that a smaller vegetation growth rate may drive the vegetation population to extinction, whereas a large vegetation growth rate may drive the salmon population to extinction. Moreover, a large vegetation growth rate may stabilize the system where the bear, salmon and vegetation populations oscillate periodically.
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