Assessing the risk of venous thromboembolism in patients with haematological cancers using three prediction models

Assessment of individual VTE risk in cancer patients prior to chemotherapy is critical for determining necessity of interventions. Risk assessment models (RAM) are available but have not been validated for haematological malignancy. We aimed to assess the validity of the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study (V-CATS) score in prediction of VTE in a variety of haematological malignancies.

This is a prospective cohort study conducted on 81 newly diagnosed cancer patients undergoing chemotherapy. Demographic, clinical and cancer related data were collected, patients were followed up for 6 months, and VTE events were recorded. Khorana score (KS) was calculated. Plasma D-dimer and sP-selectin were measured, and then, V-CATS score was calculated. Receiver operator curve (ROC) was used to assess the sensitivity and specificity of RAMs. A modified V-CATS was generated and subsequently assessed by using new cut-off levels of d-dimer and sP-selectin based on ROC curve of the patients' results and compared the probability of VTE occurrence using all three RAMs.

Among the 81 patients included in this study, a total of 2.7% were diagnosed with advanced metastatic cancer. The most frequent cancer was non-Hodgkin lymphoma (39.5%), and 8 patients (9.8%) developed VTE events. The calculated probability of VTE occurrence using KS, V-CATS and modified V-CATS scores at cut-off levels ≥ 3 was 87.5%, 87.5% and 100%, respectively. The AUC in ROC curve of modified Vienna CATS score showed significant difference when compared to that of V-CATS and KS (P = 0.047 and 0.029, respectively).

The findings of our study highlight the value of three VTE risk assessment models in haematological malignancies. The modified V-CATS score demonstrated higher specificity compared to both V-CATS and KS, while all three scores exhibited similar sensitivity. We encourage the implementation of RAMs in haematological cancers for an appropriate use of thromboprophylaxis.