Socioeconomic, meteorological factors and spatiotemporal distribution of human brucellosis in China between 2004 and

Zi-Xin Sun1,2, Yan Wang1,2, Ying-Jie Li1,2

  • 1Key Laboratory of Environmental Stress and Chronic Disease Control & Prevention (China Medical University), Ministry of Education, Shenyang, China.

PubMed

Insights

Human brucellosis in China shows clear seasonal patterns and spatial clustering, particularly in northern regions like Inner Mongolia. Livestock, climate, and seasonal variations significantly influence its incidence, necessitating targeted public health strategies.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Public Health
  • Spatial Analysis

Background:

  • Human brucellosis poses a significant public health threat in China.
  • The study investigates the spatiotemporal distribution and influencing factors of human brucellosis from 2004 to 2019.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To analyze the spatiotemporal patterns of human brucellosis in China.
  • To identify socioeconomic, meteorological, and seasonal factors affecting brucellosis incidence.
  • To provide a scientific basis for brucellosis prevention and control strategies.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized monthly reported brucellosis data from 2004-2019.
  • Incorporated socioeconomic (livestock inventory, yields, pastoral product) and meteorological (temperature, humidity) data.
  • Employed spatial autocorrelation, hotspot analysis, and spatial panel models to analyze data from 31 provincial-level administrative units.

Main Results:

  • 569,016 human brucellosis cases reported between 2004-2019.
  • Peak incidence observed in May, with cases concentrated from March to July.
  • High incidence areas identified in northern China, notably Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, and Heilongjiang.
  • Livestock, climate variables, and seasonality were significantly associated with brucellosis incidence.

Conclusions:

  • Human brucellosis in China exhibits expanding epidemic areas and spatial clustering.
  • Inner Mongolia and surrounding regions are identified as high-risk zones.
  • Socioeconomic, meteorological, and seasonal factors are crucial in brucellosis progression, informing 'One Health' strategies.
Abstract