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Updated: Jul 10, 2025

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Estimating mortality in rare diseases using a population-based registry, 2002 through 2019
Monica Mazzucato1,2, Laura Visonà Dalla Pozza3, Cinzia Minichiello3
1Rare Diseases Coordinating Centre, Veneto Region, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy. monica.mazzucato@regione.veneto.it.
Background:
Rare diseases (RD) are a heterogeneous group of diseases, sharing aspects of complexity. Prognosis is variable, even in individuals with the same disease. Real-world data on RD as a whole are scarce. The aim of this study is to provide data on mortality and survival for a substantial group of RD deriving from a population-based registry, which covers the Veneto region in Italy (4.9 million inhabitants).
Results:
During the study period, 3367 deaths occurred, mainly in males (53.9%), elderly patients (63.5%) and patients with diseases having a reported prevalence of 1-9/100000 (65.6%). When standardizing by age, the mortality ratio was higher in RD patients than in the general population, SMR = 1.93 (95% CI 1.84-2.11), with an observed gender difference, 2.01 (95% CI 1.88-2.29) in females and 1.86 (95% CI 1.73-2.10) in males. The lowest survival rates are experienced by patients with rare neurologic diseases, rare skin diseases and rare systemic or rheumatologic diseases, 58%, 68% and 81%, respectively, after a 15-year observation period. It should be noted that only 18% of patients diagnosed with motor neuron diseases were alive after 15 years from diagnosis.
Conclusions:
Despite progress in diagnosis, treatment and care in recent years, RD patients globally have higher mortality rates and reduced survival compared to the general population, with specific variations according to gender, age and disease group.
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