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Updated: Jul 10, 2025

Establishing a Competing Risk Regression Nomogram Model for Survival Data
Published on: October 23, 2020
Estimating mortality in rare diseases using a population-based registry, 2002 through 2019
Monica Mazzucato1,2, Laura Visonà Dalla Pozza3, Cinzia Minichiello3
1Rare Diseases Coordinating Centre, Veneto Region, Padua University Hospital, Padua, Italy. monica.mazzucato@regione.veneto.it.
Patients with rare diseases (RD) face higher mortality and reduced survival rates compared to the general population. Specific rare disease groups show significantly lower survival, highlighting disparities in care and outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Public Health
- Rare Diseases
Background:
- Rare diseases (RD) are complex and heterogeneous, with variable prognoses.
- Real-world data on the overall mortality and survival of RD patients are limited.
- Population-based registries offer valuable insights into RD epidemiology.
Purpose of the Study:
- To provide population-based data on mortality and survival for a substantial group of rare diseases.
- To analyze mortality ratios and survival rates in RD patients compared to the general population.
- To identify variations in outcomes based on gender, age, and specific disease groups.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a population-based registry covering the Veneto region, Italy (4.9 million inhabitants).
- Analyzed mortality data, including standardized mortality ratios (SMR) and survival rates over a 15-year period.
- Calculated SMR with 95% confidence intervals, stratified by gender.
Main Results:
- A total of 3367 deaths occurred during the study period, predominantly in males, elderly patients, and those with low-prevalence diseases.
- RD patients exhibited a significantly higher mortality ratio (SMR = 1.93) compared to the general population, with higher rates in females (2.01) than males (1.86).
- Lowest survival rates were observed in rare neurologic diseases (58%), rare skin diseases (68%), and rare systemic/rheumatologic diseases (81%) after 15 years; only 18% of motor neuron disease patients survived.
Conclusions:
- RD patients experience higher mortality and reduced survival rates globally compared to the general population.
- Significant variations in mortality and survival exist across different rare disease groups, genders, and age demographics.
- Despite advancements, disparities in outcomes for rare diseases persist, necessitating further research and targeted interventions.
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