Comparison of human leukocyte antigen immunologic risk stratification methods in lung transplantation

Outcomes after lung transplantation (LTx) remain poor, despite advances in sequencing technology and development of algorithms defining immunologic compatibility. Presently, there is no consensus regarding the best approach to define human leukocyte antigen (HLA) compatibility in LTx. In this study, we compared 5 different HLA compatibility tools in a high-resolution HLA-typed, clinically characterized cohort, to determine which approach predicts outcomes after LTx. In this retrospective single-center study, 277 donor-recipient transplant pairs were HLA-typed using next generation sequencing. HLA compatibility was defined using HLAMatchmaker, HLA epitope mismatch algorithm (HLA-EMMA), predicted indirectly recognizable HLA epitopes (PIRCHE), electrostatic mismatch score (EMS), and amino acid mismatches (AAMMs). Associations with HLA mismatching and survival, chronic lung allograft dysfunction (CLAD), and anti-HLA donor-specific antibody (DSA) were calculated using adjusted Cox proportional modeling. Lower HLA class II mismatching was associated with improved survival as defined by HLAMatchmaker (P < .01), HLA-EMMA (P < .05), PIRCHE (P < .05), EMS (P < .001), and AAMM (P < .01). All approaches demonstrated that HLA-DRB1345 matching was associated with freedom from restrictive allograft syndrome and HLA-DQ matching with reduced DSA development. Reducing the level of HLA mismatching, in T cell or B cell epitopes, electrostatic differences, or amino acid, can improve outcomes after LTx and potentially guide immunosuppression strategies.