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Flash Infrared Annealing for Perovskite Solar Cell Processing
Published on: February 3, 2021
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A techno-economic perspective on rigid and flexible perovskite solar modules
Lucie McGovern1,2, Erik Christian Garnett1,2, Sjoerd Veenstra3
1University of Amsterdam, Faculty of Science (HIMS, IOP and/or IAS) Amsterdam The Netherlands lucie.mcgovern@free.fr.
Sustainable Energy & Fuels
|November 28, 2023
Summary
Techno-economic analysis shows perovskite solar cells, while promising, face cost challenges against silicon PV. Their advantage lies in flexible modules and tandem applications, with potential LCOE reductions by 2050.
Area of Science:
- Photovoltaics
- Materials Science
- Energy Economics
Background:
- Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) have advanced significantly, nearing commercial viability.
- Manufacturing costs for PSC modules vary widely (€10-100/m²), influenced by design (rigid/flexible).
Purpose of the Study:
- To conduct a techno-economic study comparing perovskite PV technologies.
- To assess the Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE) for PSCs under various cost scenarios and module designs.
- To project the future LCOE of PSCs based on learning curve analyses.
Main Methods:
- Comparative analysis of published manufacturing costs for single-junction perovskite modules.
- LCOE calculation as a function of module efficiency, stability, and cost scenarios.
- Extension of LCOE equations to include benefits of flexible, lightweight modules and tandem configurations.
- Learning curve analysis applied to Capital Expenditures (CAPEX) for single-junction and tandem modules.
Main Results:
- Perovskite PV LCOE ranges from 4.3 to 25.5 ct/kWh, currently not competitive with silicon PV in the utility sector.
- Flexible, lightweight modules produced via roll-to-roll manufacturing offer a competitive advantage.
- Tandem modules (perovskite-silicon) show significant potential for cost reduction and performance enhancement.
Conclusions:
- Perovskite PV's immediate competitive edge is in niche applications favoring flexibility and low weight.
- Tandem module development is crucial for widespread market penetration.
- Optimistic scenarios predict perovskite PV LCOE could reach 2.8 ct/kWh by 2050, enabling broader competition.
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