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Validating the Prognostic Utility of the ABCD-GENE Score in Asian Patients with Acute Coronary Syndrome Patients on
Cheng Keat Tan1, David Bin-Chia Wu2, Seh Yi Joseph Tan3
1School of Applied Science, Nanyang Polytechnic Singapore.
Insights
The ABCD-GENE score moderately predicts major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in Asian acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients. A 10-point cut-off is useful for MACE risk, but not for predicting high platelet reactivity (HPR).
Area of Science:
- Cardiology
- Pharmacogenomics
- Clinical Risk Stratification
Background:
- The ABCD-GENE score predicts cardiovascular events in clopidogrel users based on CYP2C19 phenotype and high platelet reactivity (HPR).
- Previous validation of the ABCD-GENE score was limited to white and Japanese populations.
- Prognostic utility in diverse Asian cohorts remained largely uncharacterized.
Purpose of the Study:
- To validate the prognostic performance of the ABCD-GENE score in a heterogeneous Asian population with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).
- To identify optimal cut-off points for predicting major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) and HPR in this cohort.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective cohort study of 423 ACS patients.
- Cox regression analysis to assess the 1-year MACE risk associated with different ABCD-GENE score cut-offs.
- Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and Youden's index to determine the best cut-off for predicting HPR.
Main Results:
- An ABCD-GENE score cut-off of 10 points significantly predicted the 1-year risk of MACE (adjusted HR 3.771).
- Female sex, baseline LDL, prior ACS, and ARB use were additional independent MACE predictors.
- An ABCD-GENE score cut-off of 7 points was optimal for HPR prediction but did not independently predict MACE.
Conclusions:
- The ABCD-GENE score's 10-point cut-off moderately predicts 1-year MACE in a heterogeneous Asian ACS population.
- Additional independent predictors of MACE were identified in this cohort.
- Prospective validation in larger ACS cohorts is recommended.
Background:
The ABCD-GENE score, which links cytochrome P450 2C19 (CYP2C19) phenotype and high platelet reactivity (HPR) to the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in clopidogrel users, has been validated in white and Japanese populations. The prognostic implications of the score in other Asian cohorts, however, have been largely unchartered. The aim of this study was to validate the prognostic utility of the ABCD-GENE score in a heterogeneous Asian acute coronary syndrome (ACS) cohort.
Methods And Results:
In this single-centre, retrospective cohort evaluation of 423 ACS patients, the objectives were to characterise the best cut-off score for MACE prognostication by comparing the adjusted 1-year risk of MACE between groups above and below the candidate cut-off scores using Cox regression; and for on-clopidogrel HPR prediction using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis and Youden's index. In the adjusted Cox model, an ABCD-GENE score cut-off at 10 points significantly predicts the 1-year risk of MACE (adjusted HR 3.771; 95% CI [1.041-13.661]). Female sex, baseline LDL, history of ACS and angiotensin receptor blocker use were additional independent predictors of MACE. On ROC analysis the ideal cut-off for HPR prediction was 7 points. However, that did not independently predict the 1-year risk of MACE (adjusted HR 1.595; 95% CI [0.425-5.989]).
Conclusion:
The original ABCD-GENE score 10-point cut-off moderately predicts MACE in a heterogeneous, Asian ACS population at 1 year. Additional predictors of MACE were also identified in the present cohort, and these findings should be prospectively validated in larger ACS cohorts.
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