U-Shaped Association Between Monocyte-Lymphocyte Ratio and Risk of Cardiac Conduction Block

Inflammation plays a critical role in the development of cardiac conduction block (CCB), which is associated with an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. The monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) acts as a novel inflammatory marker; however, its association with CCB has not yet been studied. This study aimed to investigate the association between MLR and CCB risk.

In total, 82,472 CCB-free participants were identified from the Kailuan study. MLR was calculated using the monocyte count/lymphocyte count. The participants were stratified based on quartiles of MLR levels. Incident CCB and its subtypes were ascertained from electrocardiograms at biennial follow-up visits. The Cox proportional hazards model and restricted cubic spline analysis were used to investigate the association between MLR with CCB and its subtypes.

During a median follow-up of 10.4 years, 3222 incident CCB cases were observed. A U-shaped association was observed between MLR and CCB risk (P_nonlinearity <0.05). After multivariate adjustment, individuals in the highest MLR quartile had a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.212 (95% CI: 1.097-1.340; Q4 vs Q2), while those in the lowest MLR quartile had an HR of 1.106 (95% CI: 1.000-1.224; Q1 vs Q2). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses yielded consistent results. The U-shaped association persisted for atrioventricular block (AVB) in subtype analyses.

MLR was significantly associated with an increased risk of new-onset CCB. Assessing MLR may have clinical relevance for predicting CCB risk, providing valuable insights for preventive strategies and patient management.

The pre-registered clinical trial number is ChiCTR-TNC-11001489.