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System dynamics modeling for cancer prevention and control: A systematic review
Erin S Kenzie1,2,3, Mellodie Seater3, Wayne Wakeland2
1OHSU-PSU School of Public Health, Oregon Health & Science University, Portland, Oregon, United States of America.
System dynamics modeling aids cancer control by illustrating complex interactions. However, studies often lack rigor and transparency in model development and testing, indicating a need for improved best practices.
Area of Science:
- Public Health
- Computational Biology
- Health Systems Research
Background:
- Cancer prevention and control involve complex, multilevel factors.
- System dynamics modeling (SDM) offers tools for understanding and managing this complexity.
- The scope, characteristics, and quality of SDM applications in cancer research are not well-documented.
Approach:
- A systematic literature search was conducted across major databases (PubMed, Scopus, APA PsycInfo) and journals.
- Included studies using SDM for cancer-related topics underwent dual review and quality assessment.
- Study characteristics and model details were abstracted and synthesized.
Key Points:
- 32 studies met the inclusion criteria, utilizing both diagramming and simulation approaches.
- Topics included chemotherapy, tobacco/e-cigarette use reduction, and environmental cancer risk.
- Models covered all cancer control continuum areas, with treatment, prevention, and detection being most frequent.
- Overall study quality was low, especially for simulation-based studies, with significant room for improvement in participant involvement, model development transparency, and validation.
Conclusions:
- System dynamics modeling is a valuable tool for visualizing cancer control complexities and identifying interventions.
- Current applications are limited by insufficient rigor and transparency in model development and validation.
- Enhanced infrastructure and best practices are needed to advance SDM in multidisciplinary cancer research.
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