Impact of coupling on neuronal extreme events: Mitigation and enhancement

We focus on the emergence of extreme events in a collection of aperiodic neuronal maps, under local diffusive coupling, as well as global mean-field coupling. Our central finding is that local diffusive coupling enhances the probability of occurrence of both temporal and spatial extreme events, while in marked contrast, global mean-field coupling suppresses extreme events. So the nature of the coupling crucially determines whether the extreme events are enhanced or mitigated by coupling. Further, in globally coupled systems, there exist initial states in a window of coupling strength that exhibit spatial extreme events, but not temporal extreme events, suggesting that spatial extreme events do not imply temporal extreme events. We also explored the existence of discernible patterns in the return maps of successive inter-event intervals in order to gauge short-term risk-assessment. We find that single neuronal maps, as well as systems under strong diffusive coupling, display broad noisy patterns in these return maps, with clusters around characteristic intervals, allowing some short-term predictability in the extreme event sequence. In contrast, under weak diffusive coupling and global coupling, inter-event intervals lose all perceptible correlations, and the distribution extends to very large inter-event intervals. Lastly, we investigated a non-local diffusive coupling form. Interestingly, this coupling yielded a large window where temporal extreme events occurred, but the spatial profile was synchronized, namely, we found synchronized temporal extreme events. Such synchronized extreme spiking is reminiscent of the neuronal activity leading to epileptic seizures and is of potential relevance to extreme events in brain activity.