Predicting efficacy and guiding procedure choice in non-vascularized bone grafting: a CT Radiomics and clinical
Hao Chen1, Peng Xue1, Hongzhong Xi1
1Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210029, China.
Objectives:
There is no practical approach for accurately predicting the efficacy of non-vascularized bone grafting (NVBG) and guiding its optimal procedure.
Materials And Methods:
This study enrolled 153 patients with 182 hips that underwent NVBG procedures. The patients were randomly divided into a training cohort (n = 130) and a validation cohort (n = 52). In the training cohort, radiomics model, clinical model, and combined radiomics-clinical (C-R) model were constructed using Rad-scores and clinical predictors to predict the efficacy of NVBG. The optimal model was visualized by a nomogram and assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA). 128 hips that underwent successful NVBG were then randomized into a new training cohort (n = 92) and a new validation cohort (n = 36), and three models were constructed and validated to predict the choice of NVBG procedure.
Results:
Japanese Investigation Committee (JIC) classification, exposure to risk factors postoperative, and Rad-scores consisting of four radiomics features were independent predictors for the efficacy of NVBG (P < 0.05). The C-R model provided better performance in both the training cohort (AUC: 0.818) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.747). To predict the choice of NVBG procedure, the C-R model built by JIC classification and Rad-scores consisting of five radiomics features showed the finest performance in both cohorts (AUC: 0.860 and 0.800, respectively). DCA showed great benefit using the C-R model for the choice of NVBG procedure.
Conclusion:
The approach integrated by CT radiomics and clinical predictors can be visually and quantitatively applied to predict the efficacy and guide the choice of NVBG procedure with great predictive accuracy.


