Predicting Patient Status in Chronic Thromboembolic Pulmonary Hypertension Using a Biophysical Model

Chronic thromboembolic pulmonary hypertension (CTEPH) involves abnormally high blood pressure in the pulmonary vessels and is associated with small vessel vasculopathy and pre-capillary proximal occlusions. Management of CTEPH disease is challenging, therefore accurate diagnosis is crucial in ensuring effective treatment and improved patient outcomes. The treatment of choice for CTEPH is pulmonary endarterectomy, which is an invasive surgical intervention to remove thrombi. Following PEA, a number of patients experience poor outcomes or worse-than-expected improvements, which may indicate that they have significant small vessel disease. A method that can predict the extent of distal remodelling may provide useful clinical information to plan appropriate CTEPH patient treatment. Here, a novel biophysical modelling approach has been developed to estimate and quantify the extent of distal remodelling. This method includes a combination of mathematical modelling and computed tomography pulmonary angiography to first model the geometry of the pulmonary arteries and to identify the under-perfused regions in CTEPH. The geometric model is then used alongside haemodynamic measurements from right heart catheterisation to predict distal remodelling. In this study, the method is tested and validated using synthetically generated remodelling data. Then, a preliminary application of this technique to patient data is shown to demonstrate the potential of the approach for use in the clinical setting.Clinical relevance- Patient-specific modelling can help provide useful information regarding the extent of distal vasculopathy on a per-patient basis, which remains challenging. Physicians can be unsure of outcomes following pulmonary endarterectomy. Therefore, the predictive aspect of the patient's response to surgery can help with clinical decision-making.