Model-based Estimators of QT Series Time Delay in Following Heart-Rate Changes

Sudden cardiac death is the leading cause of death among cardiovascular diseases. Markers for patient risk stratification focusing on QT-interval dynamics in response to heart-rate (HR) changes can be characterized in terms of parametric QT to RR dependence and QT/RR hysteresis. The QT/RR hysteresis can be quantified by the time delay the QT interval takes to accommodate for the HR changes. The exercise stress test has been proposed as a proper test, with large HR dynamics, to evaluate the QT/RR hysteresis. The present study aims at evaluating several time-delay estimators based on noise statistic (Gaussian or Laplacian) and HR changes profile at stress test (gradual transition change). The estimator's performance was assessed on a simulated QT transition contaminated by noise and in a clinical study including patients affected by coronary arteries disease (CAD). As expected, the Laplacian and Gaussian estimators yield the best results when noise follows the respective distribution. Further, the Laplacian estimator showed greater discriminative power in classifying different levels of cardiac risk in CAD patients, suggesting that real data fit better the Laplacian distribution than the Gaussian one. The Laplacian estimator appears to be the choice for time-delay estimation of QT/RR hysteresis lag in response to HR changes in stress test.Clinical Relevance-The proposed time-delay estimator of QT/RR hysteresis lag improves its significance as biomarkers for coronary artery diseases risk stratification.