Personalization of SUDEP risk: A survey of transient subclinical comorbid changes

Preclinical data report within subject modifiable ailments emerge weeks prior to SUDEP, including sleep disorders and cardiorespiratory changes; findings which support anecdotal clinical data. Here, we bridge preclinical findings with future clinical/preclinical studies, and survey whether caretakers or family members of victims noticed transient changes prior to SUDEP. The aim of this pilot study is to identify potential modifiable changes that may synergistically increase SUDEP risk for future research.

A mobile electronic survey was posted on SUDEP community websites. The survey queried whether changes in seizures, sleep, physical well-being, emotional well-being, cognition, breathing, or heart rate were noticed before SUDEP.

The most profound finding was that 85% of victims had multiple transient ailments prior to SUDEP. Changes in seizures (28/54), and sleep (30/58) occurred in more than 50% of the victims and represent the most influential changes identified. The second and third most influential changes were a reduction in physical well-being (25/57) and emotional well-being (26/56). Changes were observed within the last two months of life in approximately one third of the cases, and more than four months prior to SUDEP in approximately one third of cases, indicating a potential time frame for proactive preventative strategies. Respondents also noted changes in cognition (16/55), breathing (9/54) or heart rate (8/55). Data indicate these changes may be associated with increased SUDEP risk within subject. Study limitations include the responses were based on memory, there was a potential for data to be over reported, and caretakers were not prompted to observe changes a priori, thus some existing changes may have gone unnoticed.

Data support the preclinical findings that transient, subclinical (i.e., not severe enough to require medical intervention), modifiable ailments may increase risk of SUDEP. This suggests that just as an epilepsy type can change over a lifetime and epilepsy type-specific treatments can reduce SUDEP risk, further personalization of SUDEP risk will improve our understanding as to whether variables contribute to risk differently across lifespan. Thus, with a dynamic capacity to change, differing factors may contribute to the distribution of risk probability within an individual at any given time. Understanding whether different combinations of transient changes are specific to epilepsy type, age, or sex needs to be determined to move the field forward in hopes of developing a personalized approach to preventative strategies.