Noncigarette Tobacco Product Use Among Smoking-Susceptible and Nonsusceptible Adolescent Never Smokers, 2009-2021

Examine trends in noncigarette tobacco use among smoking susceptible and nonsusceptible adolescents from 2009-2021.

Data came from cross-sectional samples of the National Youth Tobacco Survey (N = 183,198). Using Pierce's smoking susceptibility scale, participants were classified as either susceptible or nonsusceptible to cigarette smoking. Their use of noncigarette tobacco products was classified into four mutually exclusive categories: nonuse, noncigarette combustibles use, noncombustibles use, and noncigarette combustibles and noncombustibles dual use. We produced covariate-adjusted predicted marginal proportions of noncigarette tobacco use for 12 National Youth Tobacco Survey years, which were entered into Joinpoint trend analysis software to determine (a) trends in noncigarette tobacco use from 2009-2021 using the average annual percent changes (AAPCs) and (b) changes in each time segment using the average percent change. Models were fitted by smoking susceptibility, sex, and race/ethnicity.

Nonuse was lower among susceptible (vs. nonsusceptible) adolescents whereas noncigarette tobacco use was higher. Trends show significant declines in nonuse (nonsusceptible: AAPC = -0.3%) and noncigarette combustibles use (susceptible: AAPC = -12%) between 2009-2021, increases in noncombustibles use (susceptible: AAPC = 18%, nonsusceptible: AAPC = 19%) between 2009 and 2019, and steadiness in dual use. Parallel trends were observed when stratified by sex and race/ethnicity with notable increases in noncombustibles use among females and Latinos.

Noncigarette tobacco use differed by smoking susceptibility. Observed trends, especially when stratified by sex and race/ethnicity, raise concerns about tobacco use disparities among females and Latinos. Smoking susceptibility can help identify at-risk adolescents for current or future tobacco use.