Serum elastase-1 predicts malignancy in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm of the pancreas

The indication for surgical resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) is defined by imaging features, such as mural nodules. Although carbohydrate antigen (CA) 19-9 was selected as a parameter for worrisome features, no serum biomarkers were considered when deciding on surgical indications in the latest international consensus guideline. In this study, we assessed whether clinical factors, imaging findings, and serum biomarkers are useful in predicting malignant IPMNs.

A total of 234 resected IPMN cases in Chiba University Hospital from July 2005 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed.

Among the 234 patients with resected IPMNs diagnosed by preoperative imaging, 117 were diagnosed with malignant pathologies (high-grade dysplasia and invasive IPMNs) according to the histological classification. In the multivariate analysis, cyst diameter ≥30 mm; p = 0.035), enhancing mural nodules on multidetector computed tomography (≥5 mm; p = 0.018), and high serum elastase-1 (≥230 ng/dl; p = 0.0007) were identified as independent malignant predictors, while CA19-9 was not. Furthermore, based on the receiver operator characteristic curve analyses, elastase-1 was superior to CA19-9 for predicting malignant IPMNs. Additionally, high serum elastase-1 levels (≥230 ng/dl; p = 0.0093) were identified as independent predictors of malignant IPMNs in patients without mural nodules on multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) in multivariate analysis.

The serum elastase-1 level was found to be a potentially useful biomarker for predicting malignant IPMNs.