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Hybrid grey assisted whale optimization based machine learning for the COVID-19 prediction.

A Shyamala1, S Murugeswari2, G Mahendran2

  • 1Department of Electronics and Communication Engineering, Mohamed Sathak Engineering College, Kilakarai, Ramanathapuram, Chennai, Tamil Nadu, India.

Computer Methods in Biomechanics and Biomedical Engineering
|December 19, 2023
PubMed
Summary

This study introduces a machine learning model for predicting COVID-19 outcomes. The hybrid grey assisted whale optimization algorithm-adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (H-GAWOA-ANFIS) achieved excellent prediction accuracy, particularly for deceased cases.

Keywords:
Covid-19death ratehealth issuemachine learning modelsurvival rate

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Area of Science:

  • Computational biology
  • Epidemiology
  • Artificial Intelligence

Background:

  • The COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant socio-economic disruption and mortality.
  • Rapid spread and lack of a definitive vaccine necessitate accurate prediction models.
  • Existing prediction methods may require improvement for accuracy and efficiency.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To develop and evaluate a machine learning scheme for predicting COVID-19 positive, negative, and deceased instances.
  • To enhance prediction accuracy using feature selection and a robust classification model.
  • To assess the model's performance against established metrics using real-world data.

Main Methods:

  • Data preprocessing involved removing redundant and missing values.
  • Feature selection was performed using the hybrid grey assisted whale optimization algorithm (H-GAWOA).
  • The adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) classifier was employed for outcome prediction.

Main Results:

  • The proposed H-GAWOA-ANFIS model demonstrated superior performance with very low Mean Squared Error (MSE) values across all predictions.
  • Specifically, the model achieved an MSE of 0.00 for predicting deceased COVID-19 cases.
  • Performance metrics including MSE, Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE), Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), and R-squared were analyzed.

Conclusions:

  • The H-GAWOA-ANFIS model significantly outperforms other approaches in predicting COVID-19 outcomes.
  • The proposed machine learning scheme offers a promising tool for epidemiological analysis and public health management.
  • Accurate prediction of COVID-19 cases, including mortality, can aid in resource allocation and intervention strategies.