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Femicide in Mexico: Statistical evidence of an increasing trend
Eva Selene Hernández Gress1, Martin Flegl2, Aleksandra Krstikj3
1School of Engineering and Sciences, Tecnologico de Monterrey, Pachuca, Hidalgo, Mexico.
Abstract:
This study analyzes whether femicide in Mexico has increased more severely than other life and bodily integrity crimes (e.g., homicide, culpable homicide, injuries, malicious injuries, abortion, and other crimes that threaten life). To achieve this, the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System database was cleaned and the number of femicides per 100,000 inhabitants was calculated, for the period from January 2016 to March 2022 in all states of Mexico. Through descriptive statistics, non-parametric analysis of means, and hypothesis tests, we demonstrate that the states with the highest number of femicides are the Estado de Mexico (State of Mexico), Ciudad de Mexico (Mexico City), and Veracruz; moreover, the number of femicides exhibits a growing trend while the total number of life and bodily integrity crimes does not. Finally, we forecast the number of femicides for the next five months. To our knowledge, there is no other article that analyzes the growth trend of femicide compared to other crimes. Visualizing and understanding that femicide is on the rise compared with other types of crimes can help the government and legislators generate policies that are consistent with the magnitude of the problem.
Insights
Femicide in Mexico is increasing more severely than other violent crimes. Analysis shows a growing trend in femicides, unlike other offenses against life and bodily integrity.
Area of Science:
- Criminology
- Sociology
- Public Health
Background:
- Femicide is a critical issue in Mexico, often overshadowed by broader crime statistics.
- Understanding the specific trends of femicide relative to other offenses is crucial for effective policy-making.
Purpose of the Study:
- To analyze the severity of femicide increase in Mexico compared to other life and bodily integrity crimes.
- To identify states with the highest femicide rates and assess trends from 2016 to 2022.
Main Methods:
- Data from the Executive Secretariat of the National Public Security System (SESNSP) was utilized.
- Femicide rates per 100,000 inhabitants were calculated for all Mexican states.
- Descriptive statistics, non-parametric analysis, and hypothesis testing were employed.
Main Results:
- The Estado de Mexico, Mexico City, and Veracruz show the highest femicide numbers.
- A significant upward trend in femicides was observed, contrasting with stagnant rates for other life and bodily integrity crimes.
- Femicide rates are increasing disproportionately compared to homicide and other related offenses.
Conclusions:
- Femicide in Mexico exhibits a distinct and concerning increasing trend compared to other crimes against life and bodily integrity.
- The findings necessitate targeted governmental and legislative action to address the escalating femicide crisis.
- Forecasting models indicate a continued rise in femicides, underscoring the urgency for intervention.
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