Machine learning-driven identification of the gene-expression signature associated with a persistent multiple organ

Mihir R Atreya1, Shayantan Banerjee2, Andrew J Lautz1

  • 1Division of Critical Care Medicine, Cincinnati Children's Hospital Medical Center and Cincinnati Children's Research Foundation, Cincinnati, 45229, OH, USA; Department of Pediatrics, University of Cincinnati College of Medicine, Cincinnati, OH, 45267, USA.

Ebiomedicine
|December 24, 2023
PubMed
Abstract

Insights

Identifying genes linked to persistent Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS) can improve early prediction and intervention for critically ill patients. Machine learning models show promise in pinpointing these critical genetic markers.

Area of Science:

  • Genomics
  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Bioinformatics

Background:

  • Multiple Organ Dysfunction Syndrome (MODS) is a major cause of death in critically ill patients, but its underlying biological mechanisms remain poorly understood.
  • Identifying genes associated with persistent MODS trajectories is crucial for understanding its pathobiology and predicting patient risk.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To identify a set of genes associated with a persistent MODS trajectory using supervised machine learning.
  • To develop and validate a predictive model for persistent MODS in critically ill patients.

Main Methods:

  • Secondary analysis of publicly available gene-expression datasets.
  • Application of supervised machine learning (ML) to identify genes in pediatric septic shock patients.
  • Optimization and validation of the ML model in independent datasets.

Main Results:

  • A persistent MODS trajectory was characterized by 568 differentially expressed genes and a dysregulated innate immune response.
  • Supervised ML identified 111 genes associated with persistent MODS, achieving an AUROC of 0.87 in the training set.
  • An optimized 20-gene model predicted persistent MODS with AUROCs of 0.74-0.79 in validation and test sets, irrespective of host age or cause of organ dysfunction.

Conclusions:

  • Supervised ML effectively identifies genes associated with persistent MODS.
  • This approach holds potential for informing targeted interventions in at-risk populations, pending further validation in diverse cohorts.