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A practical revealed preference model for separating preferences and availability effects in marriage formation.
Shuchi Goyal1, Mark S Handcock1, Heide M Jackson2
1Department of Statistics, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1554, USA.
This study introduces a new model for understanding partnership formation in populations. The developed estimator accurately identifies individual preferences, even with unobserved characteristics, proving robust across different population compositions.
Area of Science:
- Demographic modeling
- Sociological research
- Behavioral economics
Background:
- Partnership formation is crucial for demographic analysis.
- Existing models often struggle with unobserved individual characteristics.
- Understanding partner preferences requires accounting for both observed and unobserved traits.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop a robust statistical model for partnership formation.
- To create an estimator for preference parameters in bipartite populations.
- To validate the estimator's performance using simulation studies.
Main Methods:
- Utilized a matching model for bipartite populations.
- Incorporated individual utility functions based on observed and unobserved characteristics.
- Developed an estimator using sample survey data on partnerships and population composition.
- Conducted simulation studies using Survey of Income and Program Participation (SIPP) data.
Main Results:
- The estimator successfully recovers preference parameters.
- Identified preference parameters are invariant to changes in partner availability.
- The estimator demonstrates accurate confidence interval coverage in simulations.
- The model effectively captures individual preferences considering both observable and unobservable factors.
Conclusions:
- The developed estimator provides a reliable method for analyzing partnership formation.
- The model's robustness to population composition variations is confirmed.
- This approach enhances demographic modeling by accounting for complex individual preferences.
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