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Updated: Jul 7, 2025

In Silico Clinical Trials for Cardiovascular Disease
Published on: May 27, 2022
An In Silico Platform to Predict Cardiotoxicity Risk of Anti-tumor Drug Combination with hiPSC-CMs Based In Vitro
Lan Sang1, Zhengying Zhou2, Shizheng Luo2
1State Key Laboratory of Natural Medicines, Jiangsu Province Key Laboratory of Drug Metabolism and Pharmacokinetics, China Pharmaceutical University, Nanjing, 210009, China.
Objective:
Antineoplastic agent-induced systolic dysfunction is a major reason for interruption of anticancer treatment. Although targeted anticancer agents infrequently cause systolic dysfunction, their combinations with chemotherapies remarkably increase the incidence. Human induced pluripotent stem cell-derived cardiomyocytes (hiPSC-CMs) provide a potent in vitro model to assess cardiovascular safety. However, quantitatively predicting the reduction of ejection fraction based on hiPSC-CMs is challenging due to the absence of the body's regulatory response to cardiomyocyte injury.
Methods:
Here, we developed and validated an in vitro-in vivo translational platform to assess the reduction of ejection fraction induced by antineoplastic drugs based on hiPSC-CMs. The translational platform integrates drug exposure, drug-cardiomyocyte interaction, and systemic response. The drug-cardiomyocyte interaction was implemented as a mechanism-based toxicodynamic (TD) model, which was then integrated into a quantitative system pharmacology-physiological-based pharmacokinetics (QSP-PBPK) model to form a complete translational platform. The platform was validated by comparing the model-predicted and clinically observed incidence of doxorubicin and trastuzumab-induced systolic dysfunction.
Results:
A total of 33,418 virtual patients were incorporated to receive doxorubicin and trastuzumab alone or in combination. For doxorubicin, the QSP-PBPK-TD model successfully captured the overall trend of systolic dysfunction incidences against the cumulative doses. For trastuzumab, the predicted incidence interval was 0.31-2.7% for single-agent treatment and 0.15-10% for trastuzumab-doxorubicin sequential treatment, covering the observations in clinical reports (0.50-1.0% and 1.5-8.3%, respectively).
Conclusions:
In conclusion, the in vitro-in vivo translational platform is capable of predicting systolic dysfunction incidence almost merely depend on hiPSC-CMs, which could facilitate optimizing the treatment protocol of antineoplastic agents.
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