Systematic Estimation of Treatment Effect on Hospitalization Risk as a Drug Repurposing Screening Method

Drug repurposing (DR) intends to identify new uses for approved medications outside their original indication. Computational methods for finding DR candidates usually rely on prior biological and chemical information on a specific drug or target but rarely utilize real-world observations. In this work, we propose a simple and effective systematic screening approach to measure medication impact on hospitalization risk based on large-scale observational data. We use common classification systems to group drugs and diseases into broader functional categories and test for non-zero effects in each drug-disease category pair. Treatment effects on the hospitalization risk of an individual disease are obtained by combining widely used methods for causal inference and time-to-event modelling. 6468 drug-disease pairs were tested using data from the UK Biobank, focusing on cardiovascular, metabolic, and respiratory diseases. We determined key parameters to reduce the number of spurious correlations and identified 7 statistically significant associations of reduced hospitalization risk after correcting for multiple testing. Some of these associations were already reported in other studies, including new potential applications for cardioselective beta-blockers and thiazides. We also found evidence for proton pump inhibitor side effects and multiple possible associations for anti-diabetic drugs. Our work demonstrates the applicability of the present screening approach and the utility of real-world data for identifying potential DR candidates.