Prediction of PaO2 during treadmill walking in patients with COPD

We studied the possibility of predicting PaO2 during exercise of a given oxygen uptake (VO2) from resting pulmonary function tests (PFTs) in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The three-minute incremental treadmill exercise was performed with serial measurements of PaO2 via intra-arterial catheter in 46 patients (mean FEV1 = 1.09 +/- 0.49L, mean FEV1/FVC = 44 +/- 15 percent). In most of the patients, the changes of PaO2 were quite linear in relation to the oxygen uptake, so a slope (PaO2/VO2) could be obtained from the regression equation in each patient. The mean value of the slope (SL) was -23.0 +/- 16.6 mm Hg/L VO2/min. Correlation between SL and all parameters of resting PFTs were computed. Because of the high correlation coefficient between SL and %DCO (SL = -59.3 + 0.501 X %DCO, r = 0.851, p less than 0.001), it was possible to predict PaO2 at a given VO2 using the following equation: PaO2 predicted = PaO2 rest + SL X (VO2 -0.25), where SL was derived from measured %DCO and resting VO2 was assumed 0.25 L/min. There was a high correlation between the predicted PaO2 at VO2 of 1.0 L/min and the estimated PaO2 obtained from individual PaO2 regression with an r value = 0.898 and SEE = +/- 5.8 mm Hg. A prospective study in 12 patients with COPD was then carried out. There was a high correlation (r = 0.857) between the predicted PaO2 obtained from the present equation and the estimated PaO2 at VO2 = 1.0 L/min. It was concluded that PaO2 during treadmill walking with a given oxygen uptake is predictable from a resting PaO2 and a diffusing capacity. This predicted value may be useful in the management of patients with COPD.