Causal relationship between particulate matter 2.5 and infectious diseases: A two-sample Mendelian randomization
Youjie Zeng1, Ke Pang1, Si Cao1
1Department of Anesthesiology, Third Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, 410013, China.
Background:
Previous observational studies suggested a correlation between particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) and infectious diseases, but causality remained uncertain. This study utilized Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate causal relationships between PM2.5 concentrations and various infectious diseases (COVID-19 infection, hospitalized COVID-19, very severe COVID-19, urinary tract infection, bacterial pneumonia, and intestinal infection).
Methods:
Inverse variance weighted (IVW) was the primary method for evaluating causal associations. For significant causal estimates, multiple sensitivity tests were further performed: (i) three additional MR methods (MR-Egger, weighted median, and maximum likelihood method) for supplementing IVW; (ii) Cochrane's Q test for assessing heterogeneity; (iii) MR-Egger intercept test and MR-PRESSO global test for evaluating horizontal pleiotropy; (iv) leave-one-out sensitivity test for determining the stability.
Results:
PM2.5 concentration significantly increased the risk of hospitalized COVID-19 (OR = 1.91, 95 % CI: 1.06-3.45, P = 0.032) and very severe COVID-19 (OR = 3.29, 95 % CI: 1.48-7.35, P = 3.62E-03). However, no causal effect was identified for PM2.5 concentration on other infectious diseases (P > 0.05). Furthermore, various sensitivity tests demonstrated the reliability of significant causal relationships.
Conclusions:
Overall, lifetime elevated PM2.5 concentration increases the risk of hospitalized COVID-19 and very severe COVID-19. Therefore, controlling air pollution may help mitigate COVID-19 progression.
Insights
Elevated exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) causally increases the risk of severe COVID-19. Reducing air pollution may help prevent serious COVID-19 outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Environmental Health
- Epidemiology
- Genetics
Background:
- Previous observational studies indicated a link between PM2.5 and infectious diseases, but causality was unproven.
- Particulate matter 2.5 (PM2.5) exposure is a global health concern with potential links to various infections.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the causal relationship between PM2.5 concentrations and multiple infectious diseases using Mendelian randomization.
- To determine if PM2.5 exposure causally affects the risk of COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and severity, as well as other infections like urinary tract infections, bacterial pneumonia, and intestinal infections.
Main Methods:
- Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was employed as the primary methodology.
- Inverse variance weighted (IVW) was the main analysis method, supplemented by MR-Egger, weighted median, and maximum likelihood methods.
- Sensitivity analyses included Cochrane's Q test, MR-Egger intercept, MR-PRESSO, and leave-one-out tests to ensure robustness and assess pleiotropy.
Main Results:
- A significant causal effect was found where elevated PM2.5 concentration increases the risk of hospitalized COVID-19 (OR=1.91) and very severe COVID-19 (OR=3.29).
- No causal effect of PM2.5 on urinary tract infection, bacterial pneumonia, or intestinal infection was identified.
- Sensitivity analyses confirmed the reliability of the significant causal associations found for COVID-19.
Conclusions:
- Lifetime exposure to elevated PM2.5 concentrations is causally linked to an increased risk of hospitalized and severe COVID-19.
- Findings suggest that air pollution control strategies could be beneficial in mitigating COVID-19 progression and severity.
- Targeted interventions to reduce PM2.5 exposure may be a viable public health strategy for managing COVID-19.
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