Ocular microvascular complications in diabetic retinopathy: insights from machine learning

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a leading cause of preventable blindness among working-age adults, primarily driven by ocular microvascular complications from chronic hyperglycemia. Comprehending the complex relationship between microvascular changes in the eye and disease progression poses challenges, traditional methods assuming linear or logistical relationships may not adequately capture the intricate interactions between these changes and disease advances. Hence, the aim of this study was to evaluate the microvascular involvement of diabetes mellitus (DM) and non-proliferative DR with the implementation of non-parametric machine learning methods.

We conducted a retrospective cohort study that included optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) images collected from a healthy group (196 eyes), a DM no DR group (120 eyes), a mild DR group (71 eyes), and a moderate DR group (66 eyes). We implemented a non-parametric machine learning method for four classification tasks that used parameters extracted from the OCTA images as predictors: DM no DR versus healthy, mild DR versus DM no DR, moderate DR versus mild DR, and any DR versus no DR. SHapley Additive exPlanations values were used to determine the importance of these parameters in the classification.

We found large choriocapillaris flow deficits were the most important for healthy versus DM no DR, and became less important in eyes with mild or moderate DR. The superficial microvasculature was important for the healthy versus DM no DR and mild DR versus moderate DR tasks, but not for the DM no DR versus mild DR task-the stage when deep microvasculature plays an important role. Foveal avascular zone metric was in general less affected, but its involvement increased with worsening DR.

The findings from this study provide valuable insights into the microvascular involvement of DM and DR, facilitating the development of early detection methods and intervention strategies.