Vaccine effects on COVID-19 infection with bivalent boosting by age group

Yoshiyasu Takefuji1

  • 1Faculty of Data Science, Musashino University, 3-3-3 Ariake Koto-ku, Tokyo 135-8181, Japan.

Insights

Bivalent COVID-19 boosters show no added benefit for infection prevention across most age groups. However, vaccination remains effective for older adults aged 65 and above.

Area of Science:

  • Epidemiology
  • Immunology
  • Public Health

Background:

  • The emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants necessitates ongoing evaluation of vaccine effectiveness.
  • Bivalent COVID-19 vaccines were developed to target Omicron subvariants, but their impact on infection prevention requires detailed analysis.
  • Understanding vaccine effectiveness across different age demographics is crucial for public health policy.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess the time-series vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 infection with and without a bivalent booster dose.
  • To analyze vaccine effectiveness across six distinct age groups: 18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65-79, 80+, and all ages.
  • To determine if bivalent boosters provide additional protection against COVID-19 infection compared to non-bivalent vaccination.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) COVID-19 data.
  • Analyzed rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths based on updated (bivalent) booster status.
  • Employed time-series analysis to evaluate vaccine effectiveness over time.

Main Results:

  • No significant difference in COVID-19 infection prevention was observed between vaccines with or without a bivalent booster dose across all analyzed age groups (18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65-79, 80+, all ages).
  • Vaccination demonstrated effectiveness in preventing COVID-19 infection for the 65-79 and 80+ age groups.
  • Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 infection was not confirmed in the 18-29 and 30-49 age groups.

Conclusions:

  • Bivalent COVID-19 boosters do not appear to offer enhanced protection against infection compared to previous vaccine formulations across most age demographics.
  • Vaccination continues to be effective in preventing COVID-19 infection, particularly for older adults (65+).
  • Further research is needed to confirm the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in younger adult age groups (18-49).

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