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Vaccine effects on COVID-19 infection with bivalent boosting by age group
1Faculty of Data Science, Musashino University, 3-3-3 Ariake Koto-ku, Tokyo 135-8181, Japan.
Insights
Bivalent COVID-19 boosters show no added benefit for infection prevention across most age groups. However, vaccination remains effective for older adults aged 65 and above.
Area of Science:
- Epidemiology
- Immunology
- Public Health
Background:
- The emergence of new SARS-CoV-2 variants necessitates ongoing evaluation of vaccine effectiveness.
- Bivalent COVID-19 vaccines were developed to target Omicron subvariants, but their impact on infection prevention requires detailed analysis.
- Understanding vaccine effectiveness across different age demographics is crucial for public health policy.
Purpose of the Study:
- To assess the time-series vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 infection with and without a bivalent booster dose.
- To analyze vaccine effectiveness across six distinct age groups: 18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65-79, 80+, and all ages.
- To determine if bivalent boosters provide additional protection against COVID-19 infection compared to non-bivalent vaccination.
Main Methods:
- Utilized Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) COVID-19 data.
- Analyzed rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths based on updated (bivalent) booster status.
- Employed time-series analysis to evaluate vaccine effectiveness over time.
Main Results:
- No significant difference in COVID-19 infection prevention was observed between vaccines with or without a bivalent booster dose across all analyzed age groups (18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65-79, 80+, all ages).
- Vaccination demonstrated effectiveness in preventing COVID-19 infection for the 65-79 and 80+ age groups.
- Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 infection was not confirmed in the 18-29 and 30-49 age groups.
Conclusions:
- Bivalent COVID-19 boosters do not appear to offer enhanced protection against infection compared to previous vaccine formulations across most age demographics.
- Vaccination continues to be effective in preventing COVID-19 infection, particularly for older adults (65+).
- Further research is needed to confirm the effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines in younger adult age groups (18-49).
Abstract:
This paper examines time-series vaccine effectiveness on COVID-19 infection with/without a bivalent booster dose by 6 age groups such as 18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65-79, 80+, and all_ages respectively. CDC's COVID data on rates of COVID-19 cases and deaths by updated (bivalent) booster status was used in this study. This result concludes that there is no difference between vaccines with or without a bivalent booster dose for preventing COVID-19 infection in 6 age groups 18-29, 30-49, 50-64, 65-79, 80+, and all_ages. Vaccination is effective in two age groups of 65-79 and 80+ for preventing COVID-19 infection. However, vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 infection has not been confirmed in the 18-29 and 30-49 age groups.
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