[Analysis of Maximum Growth Rate and Construction of Predictive Growth Model for Bacillus cereusin Mashed Potato by...

The maximum growth rate (μ_max) of Bacillus cereus was estimated using a non-destructive isothermal calorimetric method, and a growth prediction model was constructed based on the measurement results. SCD medium and mashed potato were inoculated with serial-diluted inoculum of B. cereus. Heat generation curves were determined using an isothermal calorimeter at 35, 25, and 15℃. The μ_max was determined from the relationship between the increase in B. cereus cell number and incubation time, which was detected through the heat generation of the B. cereus biological process. Moreover, the growth prediction model was constructed using Ratkowsky's square-root model. The results of the growth prediction model based on the data of the calorimetric and conventional culture methods for SCD were expressed as √μ^Cal_max=0.0354 (T-4.9)[R²=0.99] and √μ^CCM_max=0.0335 (T-5.0)[R²=0.99]; a similar equation was provided by both methods. Conversely, the results of the growth prediction model based on the calorimetric method data for mashed potato were given as √μ^Cal_max=0.0390 (T-8.5)[R²=0.99]; the maximum growth rates at 30 and 20℃ were predicted as 0.70 and 0.20 (1/hr), respectively. The maximum growth rates obtained using the conventional culture method were 0.63 and 0.29 (1/hr), respectively, similar to the calorimetric method results. The predictive microbiological analysis using the calorimetric method enabled the rapid provision of a growth prediction equation, and the number of samples could be substantially reduced compared with that for the conventional culture method.