A Radiomic "Warning Sign" of Progression on Brain MRI in Individuals with MS

Brendan S Kelly1,2,3,4, Prateek Mathur2, Gerard McGuinness5

  • 1From the Department of Radiology (B.S.K., G.M., H.D., R.P.K.), St. Vincent's University Hospital, Dublin, Ireland brendanskelly@me.com.

Abstract

Insights

Machine learning models using radiomics features can predict multiple sclerosis (MS) progression by analyzing brain MR imaging. This approach identifies early biomarkers in normal-appearing white matter, aiding in disease management.

Area of Science:

  • Neurology
  • Medical Imaging
  • Machine Learning

Background:

  • Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a chronic, progressive demyelinating disorder.
  • Diagnosis and monitoring of MS heavily rely on Magnetic Resonance (MR) imaging.
  • New MR imaging lesions are critical early indicators of disease progression.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To assess a machine learning model utilizing radiomics features for predicting MS progression on brain MR imaging.
  • To identify potential imaging biomarkers for early detection of MS progression.

Main Methods:

  • A retrospective cohort study with external validation was conducted.
  • Longitudinal MR imaging data from MS patients were processed for machine learning.
  • Radiomics features were extracted from prelesion areas and normal-appearing white matter.

Main Results:

  • The best-performing model (XGBoost) achieved high accuracy (0.91) on the test set and good performance (0.74) on external validation.
  • Key radiomics features were related to heterogeneity and gray-level emphasis in segmented regions.
  • Probability maps were generated for potential clinical applications.

Conclusions:

  • Machine learning models based on radiomics features can effectively distinguish prelesions from normal-appearing white matter.
  • Radiomics features from normal-appearing white matter show promise as imaging biomarkers for MS progression.