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Age, crash type and the changing patterns of cycling fatalities in Australia between 1991 and 2022
Soufiane Boufous1, Jake Olivier2
1Transport and Safety Research, School of Aviation, UNSW Sydney, Sydney, New South Wales, Australia soufiane@unsw.edu.au.
Background:
Australia has made significant efforts in recent years to promote cycling.
Methods:
Trends in cyclist fatalities in Australia between 1991 and 2022, particularly in those aged 60 years and over, were examined using Poisson regression modelling.
Results:
Overall, cyclist fatalities decreased by 1.1% annually. However, while there was an annual decline of 2.5% in those aged <60 years, fatalities in the 60+ age group increased by 3.3% annually. Mortality rates also showed an annual decrease of 3.5% for cyclists aged <60 years but remained almost stable in the 60+ age group over the study period. Single vehicle fatalities increased markedly, particularly among the 60+ age group (4.4% annually).
Discussion:
The observed increase in 60+ fatalities is due to the ageing of the population rather than a rise in cycling popularity as previously thought. The rise in single vehicle fatalities is likely to be related to the increase in the availability and use of dedicated cycling infrastructure.
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