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Increasing Injury Intensity among 6,500 Violent Deaths in the State of Maryland
Joseph V Sakran1, Nicole Lunardi2, Ambar Mehta3
1From the Division of Acute Care Surgery, Department of Surgery, Johns Hopkins Hospital, Baltimore, MD (Sakran, Byrne, Stevens).
Background:
Anecdotal evidence strongly suggests there has been a rise in violent crimes. This study sought to examine trends in injury characteristics of homicide victims in Maryland. We hypothesized that there would be an increase in the severity of wound characteristics.
Study Design:
The Office of the Chief Medical Examiner is a statewide agency designated by law to investigate all homicides, suicides, or unusual or suspicious circumstances. Using individual autopsy reports, we collected data among all homicides from 2005 to 2017, categorizing them into 3 time periods: 2005 to 2008 (early), 2009 to 2013 (mid), and 2014 to 2017 (late). Primary outcomes included the number of gunshots, stabs, and fractures from assaults. High-violence intensity outcomes included victims having 10 or more gunshots, 5 or more stabs, or 5 or more fractures from assaults.
Results:
Of 6,500 homicides (annual range 403 to 589), the majority were from firearms (75%), followed by stabbings (14%) and blunt assaults (10%). Most homicide victims died in the hospital (60%). The average number of gunshots per victim was 3.9 (range 1 to 54), stabs per victim was 9.4 (range 1 to 563), and fractures from assaults per victim was 3.7 (range 0 to 31). The proportion of firearm victims with at least 10 gunshots nearly doubled from 5.7% in the early period to 10% (p < 0.01) in the late period. Similarly, the proportion with 5 or more stabbings increased from 39% to 50% (p = 0.02) and assault homicides with 5 or more fractures increased from 24% to 38% (p < 0.01).
Conclusions:
In Maryland, the intensity of violence increased across all major mechanisms of homicide. Further follow-up studies are needed to elucidate the root causes underlying this escalating trend.
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