Temporal classification of short time series data

Within the frame of their genetic capacity, organisms are able to modify their molecular state to cope with changing environmental conditions or induced genetic disposition. As high throughput methods are becoming increasingly affordable, time series analysis techniques are applied frequently to study the complex dynamic interplay between genes, proteins, and metabolites at the physiological and molecular level. Common analysis approaches fail to simultaneously include (i) information about the replicate variance and (ii) the limited number of responses/shapes that a biological system is typically able to take.

We present a novel approach to model and classify short time series signals, conceptually based on a classical time series analysis, where the dependency of the consecutive time points is exploited. Constrained spline regression with automated model selection separates between noise and signal under the assumption that highly frequent changes are less likely to occur, simultaneously preserving information about the detected variance. This enables a more precise representation of the measured information and improves temporal classification in order to identify biologically interpretable correlations among the data.

An open source F# implementation of the presented method and documentation of its usage is freely available in the TempClass repository, https://github.com/CSBiology/TempClass  [58].