Early inflammatory markers as prognostic indicators following allogeneic stem cell transplantation

Allogeneic stem cell transplantation is used widely in the treatment of hematopoietic malignancy although graft versus host disease and relapse remain major complications. We measured the serum protein expression of 92 inflammation-related markers from 49 patients at Day 0 (D0) and 154 patients at Day 14 (D14) following transplantation and related values to subsequent clinical outcomes. Low levels of 7 proteins at D0 were linked to GvHD whilst high levels of 7 proteins were associated with relapse. The concentration of 38 proteins increased over 14 days and higher inflammatory response at D14 was strongly correlated with patient age. A marked increment in protein concentration during this period associated with GvHD but reduced risk of disease relapse, indicating a link with alloreactive immunity. In contrast, patients who demonstrated low dynamic elevation of inflammatory markers during the first 14 days were at increased risk of subsequent disease relapse. Multivariate time-to-event analysis revealed that high CCL23 at D14 was associative of AGvHD, CXCL10 with reduced rate of relapse, and high PD-L1 with reduced overall survival. This work identifies a dynamic pattern of inflammatory biomarkers in the very early post-transplantation period and reveals early protein markers that may help to guide patient management.