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Utilitarian benchmarks for emissions and pledges promote equity, climate and development.
Mark B Budolfson1,2, David Anthoff3, Francis Dennig2,4
1Department of Environmental and Occupational Health and Justice, Rutgers School of Public Health, Center for Population-Level Bioethics, and Department of Philosophy, Rutgers University, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
A new utilitarian benchmark offers a transparent and equitable approach to evaluating carbon emissions and climate pledges. This method optimizes emissions allocation for better human development, equity, and climate outcomes compared to cost-minimization strategies.
Area of Science:
- Climate economics
- Environmental policy
- Ethical frameworks
Background:
- Standard economic models for carbon emissions lack equity considerations.
- Existing equity benchmarks often employ opaque methodologies.
- There is a need for transparent and fair tools to assess climate pledges.
Purpose of the Study:
- To propose a transparent utilitarian benchmark for evaluating carbon emissions and pledges.
- To inform the debate on climate equity benchmarks.
- To calculate optimal future emissions allocation using a utilitarian framework.
Main Methods:
- Development of a transparent utilitarian optimization framework.
- Implementation of the utilitarian benchmark in two leading climate-economy models.
- Comparison of utilitarian optimal emissions with historical data and nationally determined contributions.
Main Results:
- Utilitarian optimization yields better outcomes for human development, equity, and the climate compared to cost minimization.
- Peak global temperature is reduced under utilitarianism due to lower human development costs for mitigation.
- The proposed benchmark provides a clear calculation of optimal future emissions allocation.
Conclusions:
- The utilitarian benchmark is ethically minimal, conceptually parsimonious, and transparent.
- It offers a promising addition to benchmarks for exploring climate equity.
- This approach can guide more equitable and effective climate mitigation strategies.
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