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Identifying prognostic factors for pulmonary embolism patients with hemodynamic decompensation admitted to the
Yanbin Peng1, Zhong Chen1, Zhongkai Luo2
1Department of Hand Microsurgical Technique Surgery, Peking University Shenzhen Hospital, Shenzhen City, Guangdong Province, China.
Insights
Predicting mortality in hemodynamically unstable pulmonary embolism (PE) patients admitted to the ICU is crucial. Key indicators like age, hemoglobin, and respiratory rate help identify high-risk patients for better outcomes.
Area of Science:
- Critical Care Medicine
- Cardiology
- Pulmonary Medicine
Background:
- Pulmonary embolism (PE) with hemodynamic decompensation poses a significant mortality risk.
- Identifying prognostic indicators in intensive care unit (ICU) settings is vital for timely intervention.
Purpose of the Study:
- To determine prognostic indicators for mortality in PE patients experiencing hemodynamic decompensation upon ICU admission.
- To develop predictive models for in-hospital mortality in this vulnerable patient cohort.
Main Methods:
- Utilized the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database.
- Employed Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) for variable reduction, followed by multivariate logistic regression.
- Constructed two predictive models and analyzed nonlinear relationships using restricted cubic splines.
Main Results:
- Included 548 patients, with 187 deaths. Significantly elevated lactate, creatine-kinase MB, and troponin-T observed in the non-survivor group.
- Identified eight key risk factors for in-hospital mortality: older age, decreased hemoglobin, elevated anion gap, elevated International Standard Ratio (INR), elevated respiratory rate, decreased temperature, decreased blood oxygen saturation (SpO2), and cardiac arrest onset.
- Determined cutoff values for these indicators to predict mortality.
Conclusions:
- Age, hemoglobin, anion gap, INR, respiratory rate, temperature, SpO2, and cardiac arrest onset are significant predictors of mortality in ICU-admitted PE patients with hemodynamic decompensation.
- These factors can be integrated into clinical practice to stratify risk and guide management strategies.
- Further research can refine these prognostic models for improved patient care.
Abstract:
We aimed to determine prognostic indicators of PE patients with hemodynamic decompensation admitted to the ICU. PE patients with hemodynamic decompensation at ICU admission from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV database were included. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator with 2 specific lambdas were performed to reduce the dimension of variables after univariate analysis. Then we conducted multivariate logistic regression analysis and 2 models were built. A total of 548 patients were included, among whom 187 died. Lactate, creatine-kinase MB, troponin-T were significantly higher in death group. Eight common factors were screened out from first model statistically mostly in consistent with second model: older age, decreased hemoglobin, elevated anion gap, elevated International Standard Ratio (INR), elevated respiratory rate, decreased temperature, decreased blood oxygen saturation (SpO2) and the onset of cardiac arrest were significantly risk factors for in-Hospital mortality. The nonlinear relationships between these indicators and mortality were showed by the restricted cubic spline and cutoff values were determined. Our study demonstrated that age, hemoglobin levels, anion gap levels, INR, respiratory rate, temperature, SpO2 levels, the onset of cardiac arrest could be applied to predict mortality of PE patients with hemodynamic decompensation at ICU admission.
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