Epidemiology and risk factors for mortality in critically ill patients with pancreatic infection

Marie Dejonckheere1, Massimo Antonelli2,3, Kostoula Arvaniti4

  • 1Department of Internal Medicine and Pediatrics, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Ghent University, Ghent, Belgium.

Insights

Pancreatic infection in ICU patients has high mortality. Persistent inflammation and localized peritonitis are key risk factors, not the AbSeS classification components. Further research is needed for better outcomes.

Area of Science:

  • Critical Care Medicine
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Surgical Infections

Background:

  • The AbSeS classification system categorizes intra-abdominal infections based on onset, peritonitis, and severity.
  • This system has shown reliable risk stratification in intensive care unit (ICU) patients.
  • Pancreatic infection presents unique challenges within the broader category of intra-abdominal infections.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To investigate the epidemiology of pancreatic infections in ICU patients.
  • To evaluate the association between AbSeS classification components and mortality in this specific patient group.
  • To identify independent risk factors for mortality in ICU patients with pancreatic infections.

Main Methods:

  • Secondary analysis of the international observational AbSeS study.
  • Inclusion of 165 ICU patients diagnosed with pancreatic infection.
  • Logistic regression analysis to assess mortality risk factors, reporting odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Main Results:

  • Overall ICU mortality was 35.2%.
  • Independent risk factors for mortality included older age (OR=1.03), localized peritonitis (OR=4.4), and persistent inflammation at day 7 (OR=9.5) or after early interventions (OR=4.0).
  • Gram-negative bacteria were the most common pathogens (49.2%), with no significant differences between survivors and non-survivors.

Conclusions:

  • Challenging source control and ongoing pancreatic inflammation are major contributors to poor short-term outcomes in pancreatic infections.
  • The study suggests that components of the AbSeS classification (onset, diffuse peritonitis, severity) were not significantly associated with increased mortality in this cohort.
  • Further investigation is warranted to refine risk stratification and management strategies for ICU patients with pancreatic infections.
Abstract

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