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Easily applicable predictive score for MPR based on parameters before neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy in operable
Mingming Hu1, Xiaomi Li2, Haifeng Lin3
1Department of Oncology.
International Journal of Surgery (London, England)
|January 24, 2024
Summary
A new model predicts major pathological response in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy (NACI). This tool uses routine lab results and clinical data for personalized treatment strategies.
Area of Science:
- Oncology
- Translational Medicine
Background:
- Neoadjuvant chemoimmunotherapy (NACI) shows promise for resectable non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).
- Predictive biomarkers for NACI response in NSCLC are currently lacking.
- Accurate prediction of treatment response is crucial for optimizing patient outcomes.
Purpose of the Study:
- To develop and validate a predictive model for major pathological response (MPR) in operable NSCLC patients undergoing NACI.
- To identify key pretreatment clinical-pathology parameters and laboratory values that predict MPR.
- To establish a tool for personalized treatment selection in NSCLC.
Main Methods:
- Retrospective analysis of 206 operable NSCLC patients treated with NACI.
- Collection of baseline clinical-pathology data and routine laboratory tests.
- Logistic and Lasso regression for variable selection, followed by nomogram construction.
- Validation using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).
Main Results:
- 53.4% of patients achieved MPR.
- A predictive model incorporating prothrombin time (PT), neutrophil percentage (NEUT%), large platelet ratio (P-LCR), eosinophil percentage (EOS%), smoking history, pathological type, and PD-L1 expression was developed.
- The model demonstrated good discrimination with AUCs of 0.775 (all data), 0.746 (cross-validation), and 0.835 (external validation).
- Calibration curves indicated good consistency, and DCA suggested clinical utility.
Conclusions:
- NACI demonstrates favorable efficacy in operable NSCLC.
- The developed predictive model, utilizing accessible parameters, can effectively predict MPR probability.
- This model serves as a valuable tool for guiding personalized medication strategies in NSCLC treatment.

