Towards safer pesticide management: A quantitative structure-activity relationship based hazard prediction model

Pesticides are recognized as common environmental contaminants. The potential pesticide hazard to non-target organisms, including various mammal species, is a global concern. The global problem requires a comprehensive risk assessment. To assess the toxic effects of pesticides at the early stage, a toxicological risk analysis is conducted to determine pesticide hazard levels. World Health Organization (WHO) has established five pesticide hazard classes based on lethal dose (LD₅₀) values to perform these assessments. In this paper, we have developed one-vs-all quantitative structure-activity relationship (OvA-QSAR) models using five machine-learning techniques with the selected optimum molecular descriptors. Descriptor selection was conducted based on correlation to evaluate the relevance and significance of individual features in our dataset. Our OvA-QSAR model was built using a dataset obtained from the WHO, covering a wide range of chemical pesticides. These models can predict the hazard category for a pesticide within the five available categories. Notably, our experiments demonstrate the outstanding performance and robustness of the Random Forest (RF) model in addressing the challenge of multi-class classification with the selected descriptors.