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Real-world performance of machine learning (ML) models in clinical decision support (CDS) systems often degrades compared to validation. Improved reporting of ML model performance is essential for safe and effective clinical integration.

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Area of Science:

  • Medical Informatics
  • Artificial Intelligence in Medicine
  • Clinical Decision Support Systems

Background:

  • Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly integrated into clinical decision support (CDS) systems.
  • Evaluating the real-world performance of these ML-based CDS tools is critical for safe and effective clinical implementation.
  • Existing evidence on the performance of contemporary ML-based CDS in actual clinical settings requires systematic examination.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To systematically review and analyze the real-world performance of machine learning-based clinical decision support systems.
  • To identify common ML tasks, methods, and performance metrics reported in the literature.
  • To assess the gap between model validation performance and real-world clinical performance.

Main Methods:

  • A systematic literature search was conducted across four bibliographic databases.
  • Studies published over a 5-year period were included.
  • Data extracted included CDS task, ML type and method, and reported real-world performance metrics.

Main Results:

  • 32 studies were identified, focusing primarily on image recognition/interpretation (38%) and risk assessment (28%).
  • Supervised learning (88%) was the predominant ML approach, with random forests and convolutional neural networks being common methods.
  • Only 12 studies reported real-world performance, with significant performance degradation observed in clinical settings compared to initial validation.

Conclusions:

  • Real-world performance of ML-based CDS often falls short of validation benchmarks.
  • There is a critical need for standardized and comprehensive reporting of ML model performance in clinical settings.
  • Enhancing reporting practices is fundamental to ensuring the safe and effective deployment of ML in healthcare.