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Predicting Functional Outcomes of Total Hip Arthroplasty Using Machine Learning: A Systematic Review
Nick D Clement1,2, Rosie Clement1, Abigail Clement1
1Edinburgh Orthopaedics, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Little France, Edinburgh EH16 4SA, UK.
Machine learning (ML) reliably predicts total hip arthroplasty outcomes, especially health-related quality of life. ML models show promise for improving functional outcome prediction compared to traditional methods.
Area of Science:
- Orthopedic Surgery
- Medical Informatics
- Data Science
Background:
- Total hip arthroplasty (THA) outcomes are crucial for patient recovery.
- Predicting functional outcomes aids in surgical planning and patient management.
- Machine learning (ML) offers advanced analytical capabilities for complex medical data.
Purpose of the Study:
- To systematically review the reliability of ML techniques in predicting functional outcomes after THA.
- To compare the performance of ML models against traditional regression analyses.
Main Methods:
- A comprehensive literature search was conducted up to October 2023 across major databases (MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, NIH Clinical Trials).
- Included studies encompassed Level I to IV evidence, involving 44,121 patients.
- Seven studies utilizing one to six ML techniques were analyzed, with follow-up periods ranging from 3 months to over 2 years.
Main Results:
- ML models demonstrated high reliability in predicting health-related quality of life (HRQoL) outcomes, achieving an area under the curve (AUC) >84%.
- Prediction of hip-specific functional outcomes showed slightly lower reliability (AUC 71%-87%).
- Random forest and neural networks were generally the top-performing ML models. ML showed a potential advantage over traditional regression for hip-specific function prediction.
Conclusions:
- ML techniques provide acceptable to excellent discrimination for predicting functional outcomes after THA.
- ML may offer a marginal advantage over traditional regression analysis, particularly for predicting hip-specific functional outcomes.
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