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Author Spotlight: Advancements in Multiplex Detection of Respiratory Viruses

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Future pandemics and the urge to 'do something'.

Adam Lerner¹, Nir Eyal²

¹Center for Population-Level Bioethics, Rutgers The State University of New Jersey, New Brunswick, New Jersey, USA lerner.adam.jared@gmail.com.

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|January 29, 2024

Summary

Enhanced potential pandemic pathogen (ePPP) research poses significant risks. Cognitive biases may explain expert support for ePPP research, which does not outweigh its dangers.

Keywords:

Biological Warfare Agents Communicable Diseases Decision Making Ethics Committees Ethics- Research

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Area of Science:

Biosafety and biosecurity
Infectious disease research
Public health policy

Background:

Enhanced potential pandemic pathogens (ePPP) research involves creating more dangerous microbes.
Existing arguments suggest ePPP research risks outweigh benefits.
The rationale behind continued ePPP research endorsement requires examination.

Purpose of the Study:

To evaluate the risk-benefit analysis of ePPP research.
To explore the psychological factors influencing expert opinions on ePPP research.
To assess the impact of expert views on the debate surrounding ePPP research.

Main Methods:

Review of existing arguments against ePPP research.
Analysis of cognitive biases potentially affecting expert judgment.
Evaluation of the influence of expert opinions in the ePPP research debate.

Main Results:

The risks associated with ePPP research are substantial and potentially outweigh benefits.
Cognitive biases may underpin expert endorsements of ePPP research.
Expert opinions may not significantly strengthen the case for ePPP research if the inherent risks are high.

Conclusions:

The argument against ePPP research remains strong.
Cognitive biases may explain expert support, not validate ePPP research.
The inherent dangers of ePPP research necessitate careful consideration beyond expert consensus.