Risk Factors for Pediatric Critical COVID-19: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Camila Aparicio1, Zachary I Willis2, Mari M Nakamura3

  • 1Department of Pediatrics, Yale University School of Medicine, New Haven, CT.

Insights

The absolute risk of critical COVID-19 in healthy children is low, but comorbidities significantly increase this risk. This highlights the need for risk stratification in pediatric COVID-19 management.

Area of Science:

  • Pediatric Infectious Diseases
  • Epidemiology
  • Critical Care Medicine

Background:

  • Risk stratification is crucial for managing COVID-19 in children.
  • This systematic review and meta-analysis defines clinical characteristics and comorbidities linked to critical COVID-19 in pediatric populations.

Approach:

  • Literature search of Medline and EMBASE for studies up to August 2023.
  • Included patients aged ≤21 years with COVID-19, defining critical disease as ICU admission, mechanical ventilation, or death.
  • Employed random effects models to estimate pooled odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Key Points:

  • Analyzed data from 70 studies encompassing 172,165 children and adolescents.
  • Absolute risk of critical COVID-19 in healthy children was 4%.
  • Comorbidities markedly increased critical disease risk: OR 3.95 for one comorbidity, 9.51 for ≥2. Key risk factors included cardiovascular, neurological, chronic pulmonary, diabetes, obesity, and immunocompromise.

Conclusions:

  • The absolute risk of critical COVID-19 in children without underlying conditions is low.
  • One or more comorbidities significantly elevate the risk of critical COVID-19 in pediatric patients.
  • Findings underscore the importance of risk stratification for tailored pediatric COVID-19 treatment.
Abstract