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Area of Science:

  • Pediatric subspecialty workforce analysis
  • Health economics and policy
  • Medical education and training

Background:

  • Pediatric cardiology (PC) is a complex subspecialty caring for patients from fetal life through adulthood.
  • It encompasses diverse practice settings and intricate sub-disciplines like imaging, electrophysiology, and critical care.
  • The existing PC workforce faces challenges in meeting projected future demands.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To evaluate the current pediatric cardiology workforce.
  • To forecast the future supply of pediatric cardiologists through 2040.
  • To identify potential workforce shortages and regional disparities.

Main Methods:

  • Utilized data from the American Board of Pediatrics and the US Census Bureau.
  • Employed a strategic modeling and analysis project for workforce projections.
  • Considered multiple modeling scenarios to forecast supply through 2040.

Main Results:

  • Projected considerable growth in the pediatric cardiology workforce by 2040 across all scenarios.
  • Identified significant regional variations in trainee supply relative to local population growth.
  • Indicated a likely mismatch between areas near training centers and areas with greatest workforce need.

Conclusions:

  • Future pediatric cardiology workforce growth is anticipated, but regional imbalances pose a challenge.
  • Targeted strategies are needed to attract diverse residents, support women in the field, and improve workforce data.
  • Addressing these issues is crucial for equitable access to pediatric cardiology care nationwide.