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Summary
This summary is machine-generated.

The pediatric infectious diseases (PID) workforce is projected to grow slowly, worsening care disparities for children. Urgent changes in training, practice, and policy are needed to meet future demands.

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Area of Science:

  • Pediatrics
  • Infectious Diseases
  • Health Workforce Analysis

Background:

  • Pediatric infectious diseases (PID) physicians play a crucial role in managing childhood infections.
  • This study is part of a larger investigation into the future of the pediatric subspecialty workforce.

Purpose of the Study:

  • To estimate the supply of PID subspecialists in the U.S. from 2020 to 2040.
  • To analyze the current state and future projections of the PID workforce.
  • To discuss implications for education, policy, and practice.

Main Methods:

  • Modeling analysis to project PID subspecialist headcount and clinical workforce equivalents.
  • Analysis at national, regional, and divisional levels.
  • Consideration of alternative scenarios and potential workforce threats.

Main Results:

  • The PID workforce is projected to grow slower than other pediatric subspecialties.
  • Geographic disparities in access to PID care are expected to increase.
  • Decreases in fellows and clinical time significantly impact workforce numbers.

Conclusions:

  • The PID workforce faces challenges including declining fellow numbers and potential attrition due to pandemics.
  • Policy, education, and clinical practice adjustments are essential.
  • Ensuring adequate PID care for US children requires strategic interventions.