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The causal effects of age at menarche and age at menopause on sepsis: A two-sample Mendelian randomization analysis
Na Guo1, Lu Zhang1, Nannan He1
1The Fist Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, Gansu Province, China.
Objectives:
To determine whether the age at menarche (AAM) and the age at menopause (ANM) are causally related to the development of sepsis.
Methods:
We performed a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis by utilizing summary statistics from genome-wide association study (GWAS) datasets for both the exposure and outcome variables. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) that exhibited significant associations with AAM and ANM were chosen as instrumental variables to estimate the causal effects on sepsis. Our study employed a variety of methods, including MR-Egger regression, weighted median estimation, inverse variance weighting, a simple model, and a weighted model. Odds ratios (ORs) along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were used as the primary indicators for assessing causality. Furthermore, we conducted sensitivity analyses to explore the presence of genetic heterogeneity and validate the robustness of the tools employed.
Result:
Our analysis revealed a significant negative causal relationship between AAM and the risk of sepsis (IVW: OR = 0.870, 95% CI = 0.793-0.955, P = 0.003). However, our Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis did not yield sufficient evidence to support a causal link between ANM and sepsis (IVW: OR = 0.987, 95% CI = 0.971-1.004, P = 0.129).
Conclusions:
Our findings suggest that an earlier AAM may be associated with an increased risk of sepsis. However, we did not find sufficient evidence to support a causal relationship between ANM and sepsis.
Insights
An earlier age at menarche (AAM) is linked to a higher risk of sepsis, but the age at menopause (ANM) shows no causal relationship with sepsis development. Further research is needed to confirm these findings.
Area of Science:
- Reproductive Health
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology
- Genetic Epidemiology
Background:
- The age at menarche (AAM) and age at menopause (ANM) are key reproductive milestones.
- Sepsis is a life-threatening condition requiring identification of modifiable risk factors.
Purpose of the Study:
- To investigate the potential causal relationships between AAM, ANM, and the risk of developing sepsis.
- To utilize Mendelian randomization (MR) to assess causality, minimizing confounding factors.
Main Methods:
- A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was conducted using genome-wide association study (GWAS) summary statistics.
- Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with AAM and ANM served as instrumental variables.
- Causal effects were estimated using inverse variance weighting (IVW), MR-Egger regression, and weighted median methods, with sensitivity analyses performed.
Main Results:
- A significant negative causal association was found between AAM and sepsis risk (IVW: OR = 0.870, P = 0.003), indicating earlier menarche increases sepsis risk.
- No sufficient evidence supported a causal link between ANM and sepsis risk (IVW: OR = 0.987, P = 0.129).
Conclusions:
- Earlier age at menarche may be causally associated with an increased risk of sepsis.
- The age at menopause does not appear to have a causal relationship with sepsis risk based on this MR analysis.
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